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Peace process · book
A Gamble Worth Taking
Published free: the link opens the whole book.
A Lowy Institute Paper on the prospects for peace in Mindanao and the threats to the GRP–MILF peace process. Written as foreign terrorists were using Mindanao as a haven, it argues that backing the peace process is a gamble worth taking.
Lowy Institute Paper 17 looks at the peace process between the Philippine government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), at a time when Jemaah Islamiyah operatives linked to attacks across Southeast Asia, including both Bali bombings, were sheltering in Mindanao. It asks how foreign countries, among them Australia, the United States and Malaysia, can help.
The authors describe a conflict driven by a mix of clan ties, the greed of kidnap-for-ransom groups such as the Abu Sayyaf, real grievances of poor Moro farmers, and jihadist ideas. They warn that seeing it as a clash of 2 clear sides misses how clans sit in local government and in the insurgency at once. Their recommendations come as a package: stronger ceasefire monitoring and permanent peace panels, help for the MILF to become an unarmed political movement, quick and visible aid that also reaches Christian areas, and reform of the military.
Malcolm Cook led the Lowy Institute's Asia and Pacific programme. Kit Collier had written International Crisis Group reports on the Philippines. They argue that foreign support cannot guarantee peace, but that the gamble is worth taking.
From cdn.sanity.io, lowyinstitute.org.
Cover from the publisher’s PDF, shown to identify the book; its rights stay with the publisher.
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